Uncertainty, Chance, and Probability

From On War by Carl von Clausewitz
War is the realm of uncertainty; three-quarters of the factors are wrapped in a fog, and war resembles a game of cards more than chess, demanding probabilistic judgment.
Book 1, Chapter 3
War is the realm of uncertainty; three quarters of the factors on which action is based are wrapped in a fog.
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Book 1, Chapter 1, Section 21

War as a gamble: 'War is the realm of chance.'

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Book 1, Chapter 6

Intelligence in war: 'Many intelligence reports in war are contradictory; even more are false, and most are uncertain.'

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